Stratfor via Ziaristi Online: Statele Unite sustin ca l-au ucis pe Osama ben Laden. Nota mea: “Surprize-surprize!” Iar i-au stricat americanii planurile lui Vintu contra lui Basescu :)

The United States has killed al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden and recovered his body, according to numerous media reports May 1 citing U.S. officials. U.S. President Barack Obama is scheduled to make an announcement on the subject. It is not clear precisely how bin Laden was killed or how his body was recovered, but the assertion that he is dead is significant.

Bin Laden had become the symbol of al Qaeda, even though the degree to which he commanded the organization was questionable. The symbolic value of his death is obvious. The United States can claim a great victory. Al Qaeda can proclaim his martyrdom.

It is difficult to understand what this means at this moment, but it permits the Obama administration to claim victory, at least partially, over al Qaeda. It also opens the door for the beginning of a withdrawal from Afghanistan, regardless of the practical impact of bin Laden’s death. The mission in Afghanistan was to defeat al Qaeda, and with his death, a plausible claim can be made that the mission is complete. Again speculatively, it will be interesting to see how this affects U.S. strategy there.

Equally possible is that this will trigger action by al Qaeda in bin Laden’s name. We do not know how viable al Qaeda is or how deeply compromised it was. It is clear that bin Laden’s cover had been sufficiently penetrated to kill him. If bin Laden’s cover was penetrated, then the question becomes how much of the rest of the organization’s cover was penetrated. It is unlikely, however, that al Qaeda is so compromised that it cannot take further action.

At this early hour, the only thing possible is speculation on the consequences of bin Laden’s death, and that speculation is inherently flawed. Still, the importance of his death has its consequences. Certainly one consequence will be a sense of triumph in the United States. To others, this will be another false claim by the United States. For others it will be a call to war. We know little beyond what we have been told, but we know it matters.

Sursa: Stratfor via Ziaristi Online

Foto Story: Al Qaida leader  Osama Bin Laden speaks to a selected group of reporters in mountains of Helmand province in southern Afghanistan Thursday, Dec. 24, 1998. (AP Photo/Rahimullah Yousafzai)

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7 Responses to “Stratfor via Ziaristi Online: Statele Unite sustin ca l-au ucis pe Osama ben Laden. Nota mea: “Surprize-surprize!” Iar i-au stricat americanii planurile lui Vintu contra lui Basescu :)”

  1. paul bacosca says:

    Cred ca s-au “gandit” ca era timpul sa-l “omoare” pe Bin Laden ca sa poata folosi “armele de ultima generatie” de dezinformare si manipulare a maselor.
    Americanilor si noua, ne-au fost pregatite cu siguranta “chestii” mult mai sofisticate si subtile.

  2. Azabest says:

    “Iar i-au stricat americanii planurile lui Vintu contra lui Basescu” … ahhahahhaa 🙂

  3. […] See the rest here: Stratfor via Ziaristi Online: Statele Unite sustin ca l-au ucis pe Osama ben Laden. Nota mea: “Sur… […]

  4. karmapolice says:

    am ris cu lacrimi cind am auzit

  5. Nan says:

    @karmapolice

    nu cred ca e funny.. Un ‘dusman’ mort (chiar si daca moartea a fost admisa cu zece ani intarziere) inseamna un singur lucru: un altul ‘mai’ viu si mai puternic este pe punctul de a fi lansat. Intrebarea este cum il vor aduce sub luminile rampei: un nou 11 sept? Un razboi mondial? Numai Dumnezeu stie ce ni se pregateste dar oricum e de gluma..

  6. Nan says:

    corectie: nu e de gluma

  7. karmapolice says:

    @nan-am ris cu lacrimi de prostii care cred
    osama who?

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